I’m looking at the 2012 prospects… not pretty.
No, I’m not referring to marriage prospects. I’m thinking aloud about prospective presidential candidates.
Just to be different, I never say much against the Democrat Party. Why should I? Us Republicans make some of the most ill advised mistakes ever. So yes, I will only talk about the Republican side of things.
And, everything I say is my first impression made with no research and subject to change drastically : )
Summary of the race so far: Too many “GOP hopefuls.”
Why exactly is Rick Santorum running? Why is Rand Paul talking to Iowa leaders? Why is Newt Gingrich even thinking about running?
The Main Characters:
Donald Trump, (always keep your eye on the money, also old guys are wily) , Michelle Bachmann (tea party is going to pick somebody and that somebody will throw their weight, no matter how much around), Mitt Romney (simply because he has more of the look and feel of Reagan than anyone else, which means the Republican’s running things will back him – another reminder of their lack of creativity), Ron Paul (this guy is trouble, but he doesn’t scare as many people anymore), Mike Huckabee, and Tim Pawlenty (hey, he’s trying to be a little more bold and exciting, that’s a start).
I put them in level of importance. I don’t expect much from Pawlenty. And the media seems to be saying Huckabee has to win all over again just to gain the credibillity he already gained. Like it or not, the media is a huge player in elections. But I’m hoping Mike gets Vice President at least.)
I evaluate campaigns from a showbiz perspective. Do people like what this guy sounds like? (Guess what, people do what they want to do even if it doesn’t make a lot of sense.)
Haley Barbour, without reading much about him, reminds me generally of Huckabee. But Huckabee already has a following, a record of primary wins, and a style people love. So I think he’s out of luck. The poll saying the state he governs will go for Huckabee seems to support this logic. Drop out/never enter.
Huckabee will start things off nicely with a win in Iowa, if he doesn’t, he’s toast. But he’ll have to follow with a string of early wins in order to make things work. With two rich guys fighting each other this may be his best chance ever. Run now.
The only good thing about Michelle Bachmann running for President is that she will mess things up for Palin. Jump in, make some fireworks, and bow out after Iowa and a one other “early” go to Huck.
Santorum, endorse Huckabee, period.
Trump, modify your talking points, use your money for campaign, and take Mitt Romney down with you.
Ron Paul, if Huckabee goes and gets a few “earlies,” stay out and keep your son out.
No, I they won’t take my advice. And no, I’m not in the position to give it. But I’d thought it would be fun to consider what I would recommend if I was in that position.
Until the next exciting event!